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Incumbents:

PARTY/TICKET NAME
Labor Cesar Melhem
Liberal Bernie Finn
Labor Khalil Eidah
Greens Colleen Hartland
Australian Conservatives Rachel Carling-Jenkins

Region Profile:

Declared 2018 Candidates:

PARTY/TICKET NAME/S
Labor
  • Ingrid Stitt
The Greens
  • Huong Truong
Derryn Hinch's Justice Party
  • Catherine Cumming

Assessment:

The first Labor and Liberal seats are safe for their respective parties, as is the second Labor seat. The last two seats, however, are in play in the Western Metropolitan region.

The Greens retained the fourth seat on the back of significant preference flows in 2014 and may struggle to hold on after losing Colleen Hartland's profile after holding a seat since 2006. This seat will likely come down between the second Liberal, the third Labor, and the first Greens candidate in 2018.

The last seat is held by Rachel Carling-Jenkins, formerly of the Democratic Labour Party, will find it very difficult to hold the seat under the Australian Conservatives banner; especially given Labor will be unlikely to preference them.

2014 Results:

The first preference results for each party by lower house electorate are listed below. Not sure what party acronym/abbreviation is what? Refer to this list.

WESTERN METROPOLITAN REGION
First preference vote by Legislative Assembly (lower house) electorate.

SEAT A: GRN B: PPV C: LDP D: VFTW E: PUP F: ACA G: AC H: ALP
Altona 9.3% 0.3% 5.5% 1.6% 2.4% 0.2% 1.6% 43.3%
Essendon 18.2% 0.3% 5.4% 0.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.6% 35.5%
Footscray 17.0% 0.5% 5.1% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2% 1.0% 42.9%
Kororoit 6.5% 0.5% 5.2% 2.2% 2.1% 0.2% 1.5% 53.4%
Niddire 7.2% 0.4% 6.9% 1.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.9% 40.6%
St Albans 7.6% 0.5% 5.2% 2.2% 2.1% 0.2% 1.7% 50.1%
Sunbury 6.5% 0.3% 6.3% 0.5% 3.6% 0.2% 1.5% 40.0%
Sydenham 5.1% 0.4% 5.4% 2.0% 2.2% 0.2% 1.8% 50.1%
Tarneit 7.0% 0.3% 6.2% 2.5% 2.8% 0.2% 2.2% 45.7%
Werribee 7.1% 0.3% 5.4% 1.4% 3.4% 0.3% 1.9% 44.6%
Williamstown 21.2% 0.4% 4.4% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.6% 37.5%
TOTALS 10.3% 0.4% 5.5% 1.8% 2.2% 0.2% 1.4% 44.0%
  I: CYC J: ASP K: AJP L: FFP M: LIB N: SFP O: DLP P: RUAP
Altona 0.7% 2.7% 1.6% 1.3% 25.7% 1.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Essendon 1.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.7% 29.5% 0.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Footscray 1.0% 2.6% 1.4% 1.3% 19.1% 0.8% 2.8% 0.4%
Kororoit 0.8% 2.6% 1.6% 2.4% 16.4% 1.3% 3.0% 0.4%
Niddire 0.9% 2.8% 1.2% 1.0% 31.2% 1.1% 2.1% 0.3%
St Albans 0.9% 2.1% 1.3% 1.6% 18.1% 1.5% 4.4% 0.5%
Sunbury 0.5% 3.3% 1.9% 1.4% 29.9% 1.7% 2.0% 0.5%
Sydenham 0.5% 2.7% 1.4% 1.7% 22.1% 1.5% 2.7% 0.3%
Tarneit 0.6% 3.1% 1.7% 2.1% 21.2% 1.4% 2.3% 0.7%
Werribee 0.6% 3.1% 1.8% 1.8% 23.1% 1.8% 2.8% 0.6%
Williamstown 1.1% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 23.1% 0.8% 1.9% 0.2%
TOTALS 0.8% 2.7% 1.5% 1.5% 23.4% 2.2% 2.6% 0.4%
Data provided by the VEC.

 


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