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Western Victoria

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Geelong Region Seats:

Bellarine Geelong Lara South Barwon


Seat of South Barwon

(Geelong Region)
Marginal. Liberal 2.9%

Profile:

South Barwon covers the Geelong suburbs of Grovedale, Highton, and Waurn Ponds and the growth area of Armstrong Creek, and extends out to the Surf Coast region, including the towns of Torquay and Jan Juc and the rural towns of Barrabool, Bellbrae, Connewarre, Gnarwarre, Modewarre, Moriac and Mount Moriac.

Once a relatively safe Liberal seat, the South Barwon district has become increasingly marginal in recent years. Labor were able to win the seat for the first time at the 2002 State Election and also successfully retained it in 2006, before the Liberal Party regained it in 2010. It is currently the third most marginal Liberal seat in the state, and will be a target for Labor in 2018.

Incumbent MP:

Andrew Katos (Liberal) - since 2010. Pictured right.

Electorate Boundaries and 2014 Polling Places:

Candidates:

Quick Navigation:

Darren Cheeseman | Andrew Katos | Marian Smedley

Darren CheesemanDarren Cheeseman
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Labor.

Darren Cheeseman was the Federal member for Corangamite between 2007 and 2013. He worked for the Association for the Blind, and during that time also served as a Councillor for the City of Ballarat. Later he worked for the Community and Public Sector Union (CPSU).


Andrew KatosAndrew Katos
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Liberal.

Andrew Katos has been the MP for South Barwon since the 2010 State Election.


Marian SmedleyMarian Smedley
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Greens.

Marian Smedley is an English Second Language (ESL) teacher at Deakin University and previously stood as a Greens-endorsed candidate for the Surf Coast Shire Council at the 2016 Victorian Local Government Elections.


Assessment:

The South Barwon District has become more marginal in recent years and will be a top-tier target for Labor. They are banking on Darren Cheeseman's profile and past association with the area as a former Federal MP for Corangamite - however it is unclear just how big his personal vote would be given that it has been a few years since he was last an MP.

2014 Results:

SOUTH BARWON
2014 Primary Vote by Polling Place

 

Lisa Ashdowne (GRN)
 

Jamie Overend (AJP) Steven Thompson (FFP) Nick Wallis (ASP) Stephen Chara (ACA) Andrew Katos (LIB) Kevin Butler (DLP) Andy Richards (ALP)
Bellbrae 28.5% 1.1% 0.7% 1.8% 1.1% 35.4% 0.8% 30.6%
Belmont West 8.4% 1.5% 2.6% 1.6% 0.9% 45.3% 1.2% 38.5%
Ceres 9.5% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 65.1% 0.2% 21.5%
Grovedale 7.9% 2.8% 2.2% 3.3% 1.1% 38.3% 1.6% 42.8%
Grovedale Central 10.8% 1.4% 3.2% 3.2% 1.1% 33.0% 1.2% 46.2%
Grovedale East 8.7% 3.9% 2.7% 2.5% 1.3% 39.0% 1.1% 40.9%
Highton 14.0% 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 0.8% 47.0% 1.1% 32.2%
Highton Central 9.1% 0.7% 2.5% 2.0% 0.3% 55.0% 0.8% 29.6%
Highton North 11.8% 2.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.3% 48.6% 1.1% 31.3%
Mandama 10.0% 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 0.9% 39.2% 2.8% 39.5%
Moriac 13.0% 1.8% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 50.7% 0.5% 28.6%
Mount Duneed 13.7% 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% 1.1% 53.1% 0.3% 27.2%
Torquay 18.7% 3.0% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 39.3% 0.6% 33.5%
Torquay North 19.8% 2.2% 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 42.2% 0.7% 31.0%
Waurn Ponds 13.0% 1.9% 2.9% 2.7% 0.5% 47.9% 0.6% 30.4%
Absent Votes 19.8% 2.6% 2.6% 4.2% 1.8% 35.0% 1.6% 32.4%
Early Votes 10.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 50.2% 1.2% 33.1%
Postal Votes 9.3% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 1.1% 53.5% 1.2% 29.3%
Provisional Votes 17.3% 5.9% 2.7% 4.3% 1.3% 32.3% 1.6% 34.7%
TOTALS 12.3% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 46.3% 1.2% 33.4%
Data provided by the VEC.

 

2014 two party preferred vote by polling place

  Andrew Katos (LIB) Andy Richards (ALP)
Bellbrae 42.3% 57.7%
Belmont West 52.1% 47.9%
Ceres 70.1% 29.9%
Grovedale 45.3% 54.7%
Grovedale Central 41.0% 59.0%
Grovedale East 46.3% 53.7%
Highton 53.5% 46.5%
Highton Central 61.1% 38.9%
Highton North 56.2% 43.8%
Mandama 46.3% 53.7%
Moriac 58.8% 41.2%
Mount Duneed 59.0% 41.0%
Torquay 46.1% 53.9%
Torquay North 48.4% 51.6%
Waurn Ponds 55.7% 44.3%
Absent Votes 45.8% 54.2%
Early Votes 55.6% 44.4%
Postal Votes 60.0% 40.0%
Provisional Votes 45.1% 54.9%
TOTALS 52.9% 47.1%
Data provided by the VEC.

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