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Central Melbourne seats:

Albert Park Brunswick Melbourne Northcote Richmond


Seat of Northcote
(Central Melbourne)
Fairly Safe. Greens 5.6% (vs ALP)

Profile:

Incumbent MP:

Lidia Thorpe (Greens) - since 2017. Pictured right.

Electorate Boundaries and 2014 Polling Places:

Candidates:

None declared as yet.

Assessment:

Northcote looks pretty comfortable for The Greens on current numbers, but that was a gain in a by-election without a Liberal Party candidate. At the 2014 State Election, Labor held Northcote on a fairly safe margin of 6.0% against the Greens.

Although the Greens would be favoured to hold on in 2018, this is by no means guaranteed. If the Liberal Party doesn't stand a candidate, as they are threatening, it will be Lidia Thorpe's seat to lose. If the Liberals do stand a candidate in 2018, the outcome will be far more close.

2017 By-election Results:

NORTHCOTE
2017 by-election Primary Vote by Polling Place

 

Russell Hayward

Brian Sanaghan Lidia Thorpe (GRN) Nina Lenk (AJP) Laura Chipp Philip Cooper Dean Rossiter (LDP) Clare Burns (ALP) Joseph Toscano Bryony Edwards Nevena Spirovska Vince Fontana
Alphington 4.9% 1.0% 41.7% 2.3% 5.0% 1.0% 3.0% 36.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 3.8%
Alphington North 1.7% 0.6% 38.6% 2.9% 5.3% 1.7% 4.8% 37.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.6% 5.5%
Bell 0.5% 1.2% 51.9% 1.8% 2.7% 1.3% 3.6% 30.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 5.1%
Croxton 0.4% 0.3% 52.8% 1.5% 3.5% 1.2% 2.1% 32.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.7% 3.8%
Derebin Parklands 1.8% 0.8% 33.6% 3.4% 2.9% 1.3% 4.7% 43.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.5% 6.5%
Fairfield 1.2% 0.5% 48.4% 1.6% 4.1% 1.3% 4.1% 33.4% 0.4% 1.0% 0.8% 3.2%
Northcote 0.6% 0.6% 48.6% 3.0% 4.0% 1.3% 3.3% 32.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.8% 4.2%
Northcote North 1.0% 0.2% 46.7% 2.9% 3.9% 1.8% 3.5% 35.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.6% 2.8%
Northcote South 0.8% 0.4% 51.1% 2.0% 2.7% 1.0% 3.1% 34.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.8% 2.7%
Preston South 1.4% 0.4% 40.0% 2.3% 2.9% 1.1% 4.0% 40.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.5% 5.5%
Thornsbury 0.5% 0.1% 48.8% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 2.3% 33.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.8% 5.7%
Thornsbury East 1.2% 0.5% 41.1% 1.5% 2.4% 1.2% 4.3% 38.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.4% 8.2%
Thornsbury South 0.6% 0.2% 44.8% 2.2% 2.6% 1.8% 3.9% 36.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 6.1%
Westgarth 0.7% 0.3% 60.0% 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 2.3% 26.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.7% 3.1%
Early Votes 1.1% 0.6% 45.5% 1.8% 3.2% 0.9% 4.3% 34.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.4% 6.5%
Postal Votes 1.8% 1.1% 29.2% 2.8% 3.1% 0.7% 8.5% 44.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.8% 5.6%
Provisional Votes 4.2% 0.0% 43.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 38.2% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 4.2%
TOTALS 1.0% 0.6% 45.2% 2.1% 3.2% 1.2% 4.1% 35.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.6% 5.2%

Data provided by the VEC.

 

2017 Northcote by-election two party preferred vote by polling place

  Clare Burns (ALP) Lidia Thorpe (GRN)
Alphington 47.1% 52.9%
Alphington North 49.0% 51.0%
Bell 38.4% 61.6%
Crozton 39.1% 60.9%
Derebin Parklands 53.2% 46.8%
Fairfield 41.1% 58.9%
Northcote 40.6% 59.4%
Northcote North 44.4% 55.6%
Northcote South 40.6% 59.4%
Preston South 48.2% 51.8%
Thornbury 40.9% 59.1%
Thornbury East 46.9% 53.1%
Thornbury South 45.7% 54.3%
Westgarth 32.1% 67.9%
Early Votes 43.1% 56.9%
Postal Votes 59.7% 40.3%
Provisional Votes 45.5% 54.5%
TOTALS 44.4% 55.6%

Data provided by the VEC.

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