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Seat of Morwell
(Eastern Victoria)
Marginal. Nationals 1.8% (vs independent)

Profile:

Incumbent MP:

Russell Northe (Independent, Nationals until 2017) - since 2006. Pictured right.

Candidates:

None declared as yet.

Assessment:

If Russell Northe contests Morwell as an independent in 2018, it may actually better his chances of retaining it then if he ran as a Nationals candidate. With that being said, Morwell is one of the more Labor oriented rural seats and they held it as early as 2006, hence the seat isn't out of their reach in 2018.

2014 Results:

MORWELL
2014 Primary Vote by Polling Place

 

Tracie Lund

Jadon Mintern (ALP) Stewart Birkett (ACA) Peter Dorian (RUAP) Dan Caffrey (GRN) Russell Northe (NAT) Jacqueline Rose
Boolarra 11.3% 30.7% 3.4% 0.7% 9.0% 44.3% 0.5%
Churchill 13.0% 41.4% 2.1% 1.4% 5.4% 35.5% 1.2%
Cowwarr 11.1% 19.6% 1.5% 0.5% 5.5% 60.8% 1.0%
Glengarry 6.7% 21.2% 3.6% 1.0% 3.6% 63.3% 0.7%
Hazelwood North 10.0% 29.6% 1.6% 0.7% 5.0% 52.8% 0.4%
Moe 9.9% 39.5% 3.7% 2.5% 6.0% 35.9% 2.5%
Morwell 17.2% 43.7% 1.5% 0.9% 4.8% 30.8% 1.0%
Morwell Central 16.0% 42.1% 1.9% 1.1% 5.4% 33.0% 0.5%
Morwell East 20.2% 39.7% 1.7% 2.2% 4.1% 31.5% 0.6%
Morwell Estate 15.5% 45.2% 2.3% 1.4% 5.0% 29.7% 0.9%
Newborough 12.4% 47.9% 2.5% 1.6% 4.6% 30.5% 0.5%
Newborough East 10.4% 54.8% 1.3% 0.8% 3.7% 27.9% 1.1%
Toongabbie 14.1% 27.0% 4.3% 0.8% 3.9% 49.7% 0.2%
Traralgon 10.0% 29.3% 2.5% 0.6% 5.5% 51.2% 1.0%
Traralgon East 10.8% 34.4% 3.1% 1.6% 4.3% 45.0% 0.8%
Traralgon North 8.3% 30.6% 1.9% 0.7% 3.8% 54.0% 0.9%
Traralgon North East 10.6% 30.1% 1.8% 1.0% 4.0% 52.0% 0.5%
Traralgon South 7.7% 27.9% 2.9% 0.7% 7.7% 52.1% 1.1%
Traralgon West 9.0% 30.2% 1.0% 0.6% 5.6% 53.2% 0.4%
Tyers 9.6% 30.9% 1.3% 1.7% 5.2% 50.8% 0.4%
Yallourn North 11.3% 43.5% 4.5% 1.9% 3.3% 33.7% 1.9%
Yinnar 10.9% 28.0% 2.5% 0.4% 7.9% 50.0% 0.4%
Absent Votes 8.3% 31.5% 4.8% 2.4% 11.0% 39.6% 2.4%
Early Votes 10.8% 36.2% 2.2% 0.9% 3.8% 45.3% 0.9%
Postal Votes 9.0% 32.2% 1.9% 0.6% 3.8% 50.8% 1.6%
Provisional Votes 11.1% 40.2% 4.3% 3.8% 8.8% 30.1% 1.8%
TOTALS 10.9% 35.6% 2.4% 1.1% 4.7% 44.4% 0.9%

 

Data provided by the VEC.

 

2014 two party preferred vote by polling place

  Russell Northe (NAT) Jadon Mintern (ALP)
Boolarra 51.5% 48.5%
Churchill 40.7% 59.3%
Cowwarr 69.8% 30.2%
Glengarry 69.4% 30.6%
Hazelwood North 59.3% 40.7%
Moe 45.0% 55.0%
Morwell 40.7% 59.3%
Morwell Central 41.9% 58.1%
Morwell East 42.2% 57.8%
Morwell Estate 39.5% 60.5%
Newborough 37.3% 62.7%
Newborough East 34.6% 65.4%
Toongabbie 59.8% 40.2%
Traralgon 58.7% 41.3%
Traralgon East 52.9% 47.1%
Traralgon North 60.0% 40.0%
Traralgon North East 60.1% 39.9%
Traralgon South 58.1% 41.9%
Traralgon West 57.9% 42.1%
Tyers 57.9% 42.1%
Yallourn North 43.5% 56.5%
Yinnar 57.6% 42.4%
Absent Votes 52.0% 48.0%
Early Votes 51.8% 48.2%
Postal Votes 57.5% 42.5%
Provisional Votes 40.9% 59.1%
TOTALS 51.8% 48.2%

 

Data provided by the VEC.

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