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Eastern Victoria

« Mill Park Monbulk Mordialloc »


Seat of Monbulk

(Outer Eastern Melbourne)
Marginal. Labor 5.0%

Profile:

Monbulk extends from the outer eastern suburbs of Melbourne into the semi rural areas immediately to the east of the Melbourne metropolitan area. in the Dandenong Ranges. It includes the towns of Monbulk, Olinda and Silvan as well as some outer suburbs such as Belgrave and Tecoma.

The district was created in the 1960's and was originally a reliable retain for the Liberal Party. Since the 1980's, the seat has become a marginal electorate, changing hands regularly between the two major parties. Labor has held the seat since 2002 and in that time, it has firmed up for them; though still remaining a marginal seat.

Incumbent MP:

James Merlino (Labor) - since 2002. Pictured right.

Electorate Boundaries and 2014 Polling Places:

The numbers on the map below represent the two party preferred result (percentage) for each polling place in 2014.

Candidates:

Quick Navigation
  Joshua James Norman DLP
  John Schurink LIB
  Jordan Crook Ind
  James Merlino ALP
  Liz Hicks GRN

John SchurinkJohn Schurink
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Liberal

John Schurink has extensive involvement with the Country Fire Authority (CFA) for over 30 years, serving as Captain of the Sassafras – Ferny Creek CFA Brigade and Chair of CFA District 13, Deputy Director of Aviation Operations in the Australian Air Force Cadets and Manager of the Ambulance Program for the community health organisation, Chevra Hatzolah. He served on the CFA Board until his removal by the state government.


Jordan CrookJordan Crook
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Political Party: Independent

Jordan Crook stood as an independent candidate for Monbulk at the 2014 State Election.


James MerlinoJames Merlino
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Political Party: Labor (Incumbent MP)

James Merlino has been the MP for Monbulk since the 2002 State Election and serves as Deputy Premier and Minister for Education in the Andrews Government. He also serves as Minister for Emergency Services.


Liz HicksLiz Hicks
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Greens

Liz Hicks was raised in Silvan and returned to the Yarra Ranges after a brief period living in urban Melbourne. She recently finished a Master in German and European Law in Berlin and is about to begin a PhD in Australian and comparative public law


Prediction:

Labor retain favoured

Monbulk is a marginal seat, though it has firmed for Labor in recent years.

2014 Results:

MONBULK
2014 Primary Vote by Polling Place

  Ana Rojas (RUAP) Jordan Crook James Merlino (ALP) Mark Verschuur (LIB) Amelia Mason (FFP) Michael Clarke (GRN) Jennifer McAdam (AJP) Craig Jenkin (ACA) Ron Prendergast (DLP)
Belgrave 1.2% 1.2% 44.2% 25.4% 1.5% 21.8% 3.6% 0.3% 0.8%
Belgrave South 1.1% 2.0% 40.7% 36.4% 2.7% 12.9% 2.6% 0.7% 1.0%
Ferntree Gully Upper 1.2% 0.9% 39.8% 34.2% 1.5% 16.1% 3.7% 0.6% 1.9%
Ferny Creek 0.4% 0.6% 35.7% 34.5% 1.3% 20.7% 6.0% 0.1% 0.7%
Kallista 0.6% 0.6% 36.9% 30.6% 1.5% 26.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3%
Kilsyth 1.6% 0.4% 40.2% 44.1% 4.1% 5.2% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4%
Kilsyth South 1.7% 0.9% 37.4% 46.2% 2.9% 6.3% 2.3% 0.2% 2.0%
Lilydale Lake 1.1% 0.5% 31.6% 50.4% 3.3% 8.7% 1.9% 1.1% 1.4%
Macclesfield 1.6% 0.0% 35.1% 46.4% 1.6% 10.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.8%
Menzies Creek 0.5% 1.4% 37.2% 37.9% 2.2% 17.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.7%
Monbulk Central 1.2% 0.6% 40.2% 39.3% 2.1% 11.8% 3.3% 0.6% 0.9%
Montrose 1.2% 0.7% 37.1% 46.2% 2.4% 8.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.7%
Montrose South 0.6% 0.8% 36.3% 46.1% 2.7% 10.1% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8%
Mooroolbark East 1.1% 0.4% 38.1% 49.5% 2.4% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 1.0%
Mooroolbark South 1.2% 0.7% 35.9% 50.2% 2.4% 6.1% 1.6% 0.7% 1.1%
Mount Dandenong 0.8% 0.5% 41.4% 36.9% 1.4% 16.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.5%
Narre Warren East 0.8% 0.4% 20.4% 66.8% 0.8% 7.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.8%
Olinda 1.1% 0.4% 46.2% 31.5% 0.9% 15.9% 1.8% 0.4% 1.8%
Sassafras 0.5% 0.6% 38.9% 37.8% 0.9% 19.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2%
Selby 1.2% 1.1% 42.5% 27.4% 1.3% 22.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.5%
Silvan 1.3% 0.4% 29.0% 57.2% 1.3% 7.4% 1.3% 0.9% 1.1%
Tecoma 0.9% 1.1% 42.0% 29.2% 1.5% 19.8% 3.7% 0.3% 1.6%
The Patch 0.6% 2.6% 43.1% 32.3% 0.8% 18.2% 2.0% 0.2% 0.2%
Upway 1.3% 0.7% 43.0% 31.5% 1.8% 17.0% 2.6% 0.3% 1.8%
Wandin East 1.9% 0.7% 25.3% 60.2% 0.7% 5.9% 1.1% 3.0% 1.1%
Absent Votes 2.1% 1.1% 31.7% 34.9% 3.9% 19.1% 4.1% 1.2% 1.9%
Early Votes 1.2% 1,0% 36.4% 41.4% 1.9% 12.9% 3.2% 1.0% 1.1%
Postal Votes 0.7% 1.1% 34.3% 47.9% 1.8% 9.0% 3.1% 1.0% 1.2%
Provisional Votes 3.0% 1.5% 31.1% 29.3% 5.2% 18.0% 9.1% 1.2% 1.5%
TOTALS 1.1% 0.9% 37.5% 40.1% 2.1% 13.4% 2.9% 0.8% 1.2%
Data provided by the VEC.

 

2014 Two Party Preferred Vote by Polling Place

  James Merlino (ALP) Mark Verschuur (LIB)
Belgrave 61.4% 38.6%
Belgrave South 58.4% 41.6%
Ferntree Gully Upper 64.5% 35.5%
Ferny Creek 60.6% 39.4%
Kallista 65.2% 34.8%
Kilsyth 50.3% 49.7%
Kilsyth South 48.7% 51.3%
Lilydale Lake 45.7% 54.3%
Macclesfield 49.7% 50.3%
Menzies Creek 58.9% 41.1%
Monbulk Central 56.2% 43.8%
Montrose 50.2% 49.8%
Montrose South 49.5% 50.5%
Mooroolbark East 46.5% 53.5%
Mooroolbark South 45.4% 54.6%
Mount Dandenong 59.5% 40.5%
Narre Warren East 28.8% 71.2%
Olinda 63.8% 36.2%
Sassafras 59.0% 41.0%
Selby 67.5% 32.5%
Silvan 38.5% 61.5%
Tecoma 66.4% 33.6%
The Patch 64.6% 35.4%
Upway 64.6% 36.4%
Wandin East 35.3% 64.7%
Absent Votes 56.8% 43.2%
Early Votes 53.6% 46.4%
Postal Votes 47.1% 52.9%
Provisional Votes 62.5% 37.5%
TOTALS 37.5% 40.1%
Data provided by the VEC.

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