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Seat of Melbourne

(Central Melbourne)
Marginal. Greens 2.4% (vs ALP)

Profile:

The Seat of Melbourne currently consists of the suburbs of Carlton, North Carlton, Melbourne, East Melbourne, West Melbourne, North Melbourne, Parkville, Newmarket, Kensington and Flemington, and includes Melbourne University.

Once a staunchly working class area, it had, up until the 2014 State Election, always been held by Labor, usually by very large margins. The exception to this was a brief period in 1955 when then Labor MP Tom Hayes defected to the Democratic Labour Party, before being defeated by Labor challenger Arthur Clarey in that year's state election, returning the seat back to the Labor fold. 

The area constituting this electorate has undergone considerable gentrification in recent years. Since 2002, this has contributed to a declining Labor vote and a growth in the Greens vote, making the seat more marginal. At the 2014 State Election, Melbourne became the first Greens seat in the Victorian Legislative Assembly, with Greens challenger Ellen Sandell defeating Labor incumbent Jennifer Kanis.

Incumbent MP:

Ellen Sandell (Greens) - since 2014. Pictured right.

Electorate Boundaries and 2014 Polling Places:

Candidates:

Quick Navigation:

Jennifer Kanis | Ellen Sandell

Jennifer KanisJennifer Kanis
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Political Party: Labor.

Jennifer Kanis was the MP for Melbourne between 2012 and 2014. She studied an Arts degree at the University of Melbourne, and also gained postgraduate qualifications in education - after which she worked as an English and literature teacher. She later went on to study industrial law at La Trobe University. After graduating, she took a job with Holding Redlich and became a senior associate of the firm.


Ellen SandellEllen Sandell
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Political Party: Greens (Incumbent MP)

Ellen Sandell has been the MP for Melbourne since the 2014 State Election. While at university, she was involved in student politics and was elected as the environment officer for the University of Melbourne Student Union in 2007. Between 2007 and 2009, she was employed as a policy adviser in the Victorian Department of Premier and Cabinet to work on the Brumby Government's climate change strategy and Green Paper. She later worked for the Australian Youth Climate Coalition (AYCC) between 2009 and 2012 serving as general manager before becoming the group's National Director.

Assessment:

This will be Ellen Sandell's seat to lose. The Liberal Party, however, managed to scrape into second place in the Federal Seat of Melbourne, within which most of the state seat is situated, at the 2016 Federal Election. The real question is whether the Liberals will manage to get into second place in the state seat of Melbourne in 2018.

2014 Results:

Aside from the main three parties, the Australian Christians (AC), Family First Party (FFP), Animal Justice Party (AJP), and Voice For the West (VFTW) stood candidates in this electorate in 2014.

MELBOURNE
2014 Primary Vote by Polling Place

 

Neville Chisholm (AC)

Kerry Sutherland (FFP) Ellen Sandell (GRN) Jennifer Kanis (ALP) X Kate Elliot (AJP) Ed Huntingford (LIB) Tehiya Umer (VFTW)
Carlton 2.0% 1.0% 42.6% 33.8% 2.0% 16.9% 1.7%
Carlton Central 0.5% 0.3% 51.1% 27.7% 1.6% 18.6% 0.1%
Carlton North 1.1% 0.4% 44.2% 30.3% 2.9% 20.8% 0.4%
Docklands 1.0% 1.2% 30.8% 21.5% 3.3% 41.7% 0.5%
East Melbourne 1.3% 0.2% 34.0% 21.7% 1.3% 41.2% 0.3%
Hotham Hill 1.4% 0.6% 32.1% 49.7% 2.0% 12.6% 1.7%
Kensington 1.0% 0.8% 43.0% 34.9% 1.3% 18.4% 0.6%
Melbourne 1.3% 1.0% 43.1% 24.0% 1.8% 28.4% 0.5%
North Melbourne 1.2% 0.5% 47.6% 29.7% 2.1% 16.9% 2.1%
North Melbourne East 1.5% 0.9% 43.7% 28.6% 2.2% 20.7% 2.6%
Parkville 0.7% 0.4% 46.6% 30.7% 2.7% 18.4% 0.5%
Queen Victoria 1.8% 0.8% 45.7% 27.3% 2.6% 20.4% 0.5%
South Kensington 1.3% 0.7% 41.6% 33.6% 1.9% 19.7% 1.1%
Absent Votes 1.4% 1.3% 42.3% 27.8% 2.5% 24.0% 0.8%
Early Votes 1.4% 1.0% 42.6% 26.5% 1.8% 26.1% 0.7%
Postal Votes 1.5% 0.7% 27.3% 35.4% 2.7% 31.4% 1.0%
Provisional Votes 2.2% 1.4% 45.0% 27.4% 3.2% 20.1% 0.7%
TOTALS 1.3% 0.8% 41.4% 29.3% 2.2% 24.1% 0.9%
Data provided by the VEC.

 

2014 Two Party Preferred Vote by Polling Place
  Jennifer Kanis (ALP) X Ellen Sandell (GRN)
Carlton 48.4% 51.6%
Carlton Central 41.8% 58.2%
Carlton North 48.9% 51.1%
Docklands 54.8% 45.2%
East Melbourne 55.9% 44.1%
Hotham Hill 61.2% 38.8%
Kensington 49.2% 50.8%
Melbourne 44.1% 55.9%
North Melbourne 44.2% 55.8%
North Melbourne East 46.5% 53.5%
Parkville 47.2% 52.8%
Queen Victoria 42.6% 57.4%
South Kensington 50.4% 49.6%
Absent Votes 57.6% 42.4%
Early Votes 55.6% 44.4%
Postal Votes 42.8% 57.2%
Provisional Votes 58.5% 41.5%
TOTALS 47.6% 52.4%
Data provided by the VEC.

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