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« Geelong Gembrook Gippsland East »


Seat of Gembrook
(Outer Eastern Melbourne)
Fairly Safe. Liberal 9.0%

Profile:

Incumbent MP:

Brad Battin (Liberal) - since 2010. Pictured right.

Candidates:

None declared as yet.

Assessment:

Gembrook was held by Labor as late as 2010. They were unable to regain the seat in 2014, but it does suggest that the seat's margin is somewhat over-inflated and that the seat is within reach of the Labor Party.

2014 Results:

GEMBROOK
2014 Primary Vote by Polling Place
  Damian Heffernan Collin Ross (ALP) Simon Beard (AC) Frank Dean Michael Schilling (GRN) Alan Stoops (ACA) Ferdie Verdan (RUAP) Brad Battin (LIB)
Avebury 1.1% 32.4% 1.0% 0.6% 6.6% 0.5% 0.5% 57.4%
Beaconsfield 0.5% 27.0% 1.9% 0.4% 7.3% 1.3% 1.4% 60.2%
Beaconsfield Upper 0.5% 22.0% 1.3% 0.2% 9.0% 0.7% 0.6% 65.7%
Berwick 0.4% 26.0% 1.0% 0.2% 7.2% 0.7% 0.6% 64.0%
Berwick Lodge 1.5% 35.1% 2.9% 1.0% 6.4% 0.7% 2.5% 49.8%
Cockatoo 1.6% 37.8% 1.5% 1.0% 11.8% 3.6% 1.4% 41.3%
Emerald 1.2% 31.2% 1.6% 0.4% 14.8% 1.6% 0.8% 48.4%
Genbrook 1.4% 31.1% 1.1% 0.5% 12.2% 2.7% 1.6% 49.4%
Harkaway 0.7% 21.8% 1.3% 0.1% 8.2% 0.7% 0.9% 66.3%
Officer 0.9% 29.9% 3.1% 1.0% 5.4% 0.5% 0.4% 58.9%
Pakenham 1.9% 40.5% 2.1% 0.8% 8.3% 2.0% 2.2% 42.1%
Pakenham Hills 2.0% 43.2% 2.6% 0.6% 6.5% 2.3% 1.6% 41.4%
Pakenham Lakeside 1.7% 39.6% 2.2% 1.9% 8.0% 0.7% 1.9% 44.0%
Pakenham Upper 0.9% 22.2% 1.8% 0.5% 10.8% 1.3% 1.4% 61.1%
Timbarra 1.5% 32.0% 2.6% 1.0% 6.0% 0.1% 0.6% 56.3%
Toomuc Valley 1.2% 23.1% 0.9% 0.6% 10.2% 0.6% 0.9% 62.6%
Absent 3.7% 34.1% 2.3% 1.4% 12.1% 1.9% 1.9% 42.6%
Early 1.1% 29.0% 1.5% 0.6% 7.0% 1.0% 0.7% 59.0%
Postal 1.3% 26.2% 1.5% 0.6% 6.5% 1.5% 0.8% 61.6%
Provisional 3.3% 35.7% 2.6% 1.6% 11.7% 3.0% 1.2% 41.0%
TOTALS 1.4% 30.6% 1.7% 0.7% 8.5% 1.4% 1.1% 54.7%
 
Data provided by the VEC.

 

2014 Two Party Preferred Vote by Polling Place
  Brad Battin (LIB) Collin Ross (ALP)
Avebury 60.9% 39.1%
Beaconsfield 65.7% 34.3%
Beaconsfield Upper 69.8% 30.2%
Berwick 67.2% 32.8%
Berwick Lodge 55.0% 45.0%
Cockatoo 48.4% 51.6%
Emerald 53.6% 46.4%
Genbrook 54.5% 45.5%
Harkaway 70.4% 29.6%
Officer 63.4% 36.6%
Pakenham 48.0% 52.0%
Pakenham Hills 47.1% 52.9%
Pakenham Lakeside 49.5% 50.5%
Pakenham Upper 66.6% 33.4%
Timbarra 60.6% 39.4%
Toomuc Valley 67.0% 33.0%
Absent 49.0% 51.0%
Early 61.0% 39.0%
Postal 65.8% 34.2%
Provisional 48.3% 51.7%
TOTALS 59.0% 41.0%
 
 

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