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Seat of Forest Hill

(Eastern Melbourne)
Marginal. Liberal 4.8%

Profile:

The Forest Hill District is located in the eastern suburbs of Melbourne. It includes the suburbs of Blackburn South, Burwood East and Vermont South and parts of Forest Hill and Vermont.

Originally created in the mid 1970's, it was a relatively safe Liberal seat but it has become increasingly marginal in recent years - thanks largely to the high profile challenge from Labor in their selection of high-profile Winter Olympic gold medalist Kirstie Marshal as its candidate at the 2002 State Election, which saw them gain the seat for the first time. Labor however lost the seat to the Liberals at the 2010 Election.

The seat fits a demographic profile roughly matching the safe Liberal seats in the east of Melbourne - being highly educated, largely irreligious and working in white-collar highly-paying occupations. There is also a large Chinese and south-east Asian population.

Incumbent MP:

Neil Angus (Liberal) - since 2010. Pictured right.

Electorate Boundaries and 2014 Polling Places:

Candidates:

Quick Navigation:

Neil Angus | Naresh Bhalla | Manoj Kumar

Neil AngusNeil Angus
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Liberal (Incumbent MP)

Neil Angus has been the MP for Forest Hill since the 2010 State Election. Prior to entering Parliament, he was a chartered accountant in public practice for over 25 years, specialising in audit and investigations.


Naresh BhallaNaresh Bhalla
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Greens

 


Manoj KumarManoj Kumar
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Labor

Manoj Kumar is an electronics engineer and is the international business head of a large company. A Labor Party member since 2009, he previously stood as a candidate for the Federal seat of Menzies at the 2013 Federal Election.

Prediction:

Liberal retain favoured

Forest Hill was held by Labor as late as 2010. It wouldn't be out of reach if Labor were to run a high profile campaign and were doing well across the state.

2014 Results:

FOREST HILL
2014 Primary Vote by Polling Place
  Kane Rogers (AJP) Melissa Trotter (ACA) Neil Angus (LIB) Pauline Richards (ALP) Brewis Atkinson (GRN) Lynne Maddison (AC) Wendy Ross (FFP)
Blackburn South 2.7% 0.3% 47.3% 36.2% 10.3% 1.7% 1.5%
Burwood Heights 3.4% 0.4% 42.2% 43.5% 7.1% 2.0% 1.3%
Camelot 1.2% 0.5% 49.7% 35.5% 9.8% 2.1% 1.1%
Charlesworth Park 3.0% 0.3% 50.6% 36.5% 7.3% 1.5% 0.9%
Eastmont 2.2% 0.4% 50.8% 34.0% 8.1% 3.1% 1.3%
Forest Hill 1.0% 0.4% 50.0% 34.6% 11.4% 1.1% 1.5%
Glen Waverley 0.7% 0.0% 46.0% 42.6% 8.3% 0.7% 1.7%
Highvale 1.9% 0.7% 52.6% 34.7% 7.3% 1.1% 1.7%
Manooka 1.3% 0.7% 45.5% 43.8% 6.9% 0.9% 1.0%
Mitchham South 1.0% 1.0% 44.6% 41.6% 10.3% 1.0% 0.5%
Morack 2.6% 0.3% 52.4% 34.2% 7.6% 1.9% 1.1%
Nunawading South 4.6% 0.3% 45.6% 34.2% 13.7% 0.8% 0.8%
Parkmore 2.3% 0.7% 44.1% 41.8% 8.8% 1.6% 0.8%
Tally Ho 2.7% 0.1% 46.5% 39.7% 7.9% 1.3% 1.8%
Vermont North 1.9% 0.4% 51.0% 31.4% 12.6% 1.1% 1.7%
Warrawong 2.8% 0.7% 47.3% 38.6% 9.1% 0.4% 1.1%
Weeden Heights 2.4% 0.5% 54.5% 32.2% 7.3% 1.6% 1.5%
Absent 6.7% 1.2% 41.0% 32.0% 14.6% 1.8% 2.7%
Early 2.9% 0.7% 52.2% 32.2% 9.2% 1.7% 1.1%
Postal 2.1% 0.7% 55.6% 31.5% 7.1% 1.1% 1.8%
Provisional 9.6% 1.3% 35.0% 36.3% 15.3% 1.3% 1.3%
TOTALS 2.7% 0.6% 49.7% 35.2% 8.9% 1.5% 1.4%
Data provided by the VEC.

 

2014 Two Party Preferred Vote by Polling Place

  Neil Angus (LIB) Pauline Richards (ALP)
Blackburn South 52.1% 47.9%
Burwood Heights 47.9% 52.1%
Camelot 54.7% 45.3%
Charlesworth Park 55.3% 44.7%
Eastmont 57.3% 42.7%
Forest Hill 54.7% 45.3%
Glen Waverley 48.9% 51.1%
Highvale 56.2% 43.8%
Manooka 48.2% 51.8%
Mitchham South 47.4% 52.6%
Morack 56.7% 43.3%
Nunawading South 51.4% 48.6%
Parkmore 48.8% 51.2%
Tally Ho 52.6% 47.4%
Vermont North 57.0% 43.0%
Warrawong 51.0% 49.0%
Weeden Heights 59.9% 40.1%
Absent 50.7% 49.3%
Early 57.2% 42.8%
Postal 60.5% 39.5%
Provisional 44.6% 55.4%
TOTALS 54.8% 45.2%
Data provided by the VEC.

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