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Seat of Essendon

(Inner Northern Melbourne)
Fairly Safe. Labor 8.7%

Profile:

The electorate of Essendon is situated in the inner north west of Melbourne. It includes the suburbs of Essendon, Moonee Ponds and Ascot Vale.

The is generally safe for the Labor Party, though the Liberal Party have occasionally been able to provide significant challenge to their hold on the seat. The Liberals last held the seat in the 1990's, during the Kennett years. Much like a lot of inner Melbourne, the area constituting Essendon is experiencing significant gentrification and subsequent demographic changes. This is seeing a significant increase in the Greens vote as well.

Demographics wise, the electorate is generally highly educated with a younger population compared to the state average, with professionals making up the bulk of employment. The population is mostly of Australian descent, with Irish and Italian populations also being significant and over represented.

Incumbent MP:

Danny Pearson (Labor) - since 2014. Pictured right.

Electorate Boundaries and 2014 Polling Places:

Candidates:

  • Gino Potenza (Liberal)

Assessment:

The Greens vote is growing in this area, but they won't be a threat in 2018. Essendon will remain a Labor held seat.

2014 Results:

ESSENDON
2014 Primary Vote by Polling Place

  Richard Lawrence Ashley Waite (GRN) Mario Mendez (VFTW) Fred Ackerman (LIB) Danny Pearson (ALP)
Ascot Vale Central 2.8% 20.6% 1.5% 34.0% 41.0%
Ascot Vale East 3.3% 25.2% 1.9% 27.1% 42.6%
Ascot Vale West 1.7% 22.2% 1.4% 38.1% 36.7%
Buckley Park 1.1% 10.1% 1.1% 46.4% 41.3%
Essendon 3.8% 12.9% 0.9% 44.5% 37.9%
Essendon North 1.5% 14.8% 2.1% 43.4% 38.2%
Essondon West 2.0% 12.4% 2.2% 44.1% 39.3%
Flemington 3.1% 32.0% 2.5% 17.7% 44.8%
Glenbervie 4.1% 15.9% 1.0% 38.4% 40.6%
Moonee Ponds 3.0% 14.8% 1.5% 47.4% 33.4%
Moonee Ponds Central 4.1% 16.7% 1.6% 30.3% 47.3%
Moonee Ponds West 2.4% 15.1% 2.1% 33.4% 47.0%
Newmarket 3.1% 22.3% 3.8% 19.8% 51.0%
Strathmore 3.4% 11.5% 1.0% 47.3% 36.7%
Strathmore North 1.8% 9.9% 2.3% 40.5% 45.5%
Absent Votes 3.8% 27.3% 2.9% 28.3% 37.7%
Early Votes 4.3% 16.5% 1.7% 38.4% 39.1%
Postal Votes 2.6% 14.0% 2.0% 37.7% 43.7%
Provisional Votes 4.5% 28.2% 3.0% 25.5% 38.9%
TOTALS 3.4% 18.0% 1.8% 35.9% 40.9%

Data provided by the VEC.

 

2014 two party preferred vote by polling place

  Danny Pearson (ALP) Fred Ackerman (LIB)
Ascot Vale Central 61.0% 39.0%
Ascot Vale East 67.2% 32.8%
Ascot Vale West 58.1% 41.9%
Buckley Park 51.1% 48.9%
Essendon 51.2% 48.8%
Essendon North 52.0% 48.0%
Essendon West 51.4% 48.6%
Flemington 75.7% 24.3%
Glenbervie 56.6% 43.4%
Moonee Ponds 48.6% 51.4%
Moonee Ponds Central 64.5% 35.5%
Moonee Ponds West 62.0% 38.0%
Newmarket 74.5% 25.5%
Strathmore 47.8% 52.2%
Strathmore North 55.6% 44.4%
Absent Votes 63.5% 36.5%
Early Votes 55.5% 44.5%
Postal Votes 57.7% 42.3%
Provisional Votes 66.0% 34.0%
TOTALS 58.7% 41.3%

Data provided by the VEC.

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