Navigation:

Index Page Running as a candidate? Like this? Give $5

« Clarinda Cranbourne Croydon »


Seat of Cranbourne

(Outer Eastern Melbourne)
Marginal. Labor 2.3%

Profile:

Cranbourne is located in the south-east of Melbourne and includes the suburbs of Cranbourne, Carrum Downs, Langwarrin, Seaford, Skye, and Frankston North.

The district was created prior to the 1992 election, when it was gained by the Liberal Party - who would hold the seat until Labor's landslide victory at the 2002 state election. Labor have held Cranbourne since the 2002 election and it remains a marginal electorate.

The demographics of the electorate are what can be considered skilled working class, with trades workers constituting the majority of the workforce. Machinery operators, labourers and community workers are also over-represented compared to the state average. The electorate has large populations of Indians and Sri Lankins; with the aforementioned groups being over-represented in this electorate compared to the state average.

Incumbent MP:

Jude Perera (Labor) - since 2002. Pictured right. He is not standing for reelection in 2018.

Electorate Boundaries and 2014 Polling Places:

Candidates:

  • Ann-Marie Hermans (Liberal)
  • Pauline Richards (Labor)

Assessment:

Cranbourne is a marginal seat which has been held by the Liberals relatively recently, though they were unable to gain it at the 2010 Election.

2014 Results:

CRANBOURNE
2014 Primary Vote by Polling Place
  Jonathan Eli (RUAP) Jude Perera (ALP) Geoff Ablett (LIB) Rosemary Blake Nagaraj Nayak (GRN) Pamela Keenan (FFP) Laith Graham (ASP) Rania Michael (AC)
Amstel 1.9% 40.4% 44.4% 1.7% 4.2% 2.8% 2.9% 1.6%
Casey Central 2.4% 47.0% 39.1% 0.6% 4.2% 2.6% 1.9% 2.1%
Clyde 1.2% 43.7% 43.9% 0.4% 5.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6%
Courtenay Gardens 3.1% 46.3% 36.9% 2.6% 4.8% 2.2% 2.4% 1.7%
Cranbourne 3.0% 44.1% 40.9% 2.4% 3.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.1%
Cranbourne East 2.4% 47.4% 38.2% 0.5% 4.2% 3.0% 2.1% 2.2%
Cranbourne North East 4.5% 49.7% 33.7% 1.1% 4.1% 2.9% 2.6% 1.3%
Cranbourne Park 2.6% 48.1% 36.6% 1.5% 4.7% 2.5% 2.8% 1.1%
Cranbourne South 2.3% 27.8% 62.2% 1.2% 2.8% 1.0% 1.9% 0.7%
Cranbourne West 3.4% 48.3% 31.0% 3.2% 4.2% 1.4% 6.6% 1.9%
Lynbrook 2.8% 48.2% 32.7% 2.5% 6.8% 2.9% 2.3% 1.7%
Lundhurst 3.0% 49.2% 35.5% 1.1% 4.4% 2.2% 3.2% 1.5%
Lyndhurst West 1.5% 45.0% 44.5% 0.7% 3.2% 1.5% 2.6% 1.0%
Rangebank 2.4% 46.4% 38.6% 1.0% 4.9% 1.9% 3.6% 1.2%
Absent 3.4% 43.3% 33.2% 2.2% 6.5% 4.8% 5.2% 1.4%
Early 2.3% 39.9% 46.4% 3.0% 3.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.0%
Postal 1.1% 42.1% 45.0% 1.6% 2.9% 3.7% 2.2% 1.4%
Provisional 5.5% 44.2% 30.9% 1.7% 4.2% 5.9% 6.2% 1.4%
TOTALS 2.5% 43.4% 41.3% 2.1% 4.2% 2.4% 2.8% 1.4%
Data provided by the VEC.

 

2014 two party preferred vote by polling place
  Jude Perera (ALP) Geoff Ablett (LIB)
Amstel 48.5% 51.5%
Casey Central 60.1% 39.9%
Clyde 53.0% 47.0%
Courtenay Gardens 55.0% 45.0%
Cranbourne 52.5% 47.5%
Cranbourne East 56.1% 43.9%
Cranbourne North East 59.8% 40.2%
Cranbourne Park 58.1% 41.9%
Cranbourne South 33.6% 66.4%
Cranbourne West 59.8% 40.2%
Lynbrook 59.7% 40.3%
Lundhurst 58.6% 41.4%
Lyndhurst West 50.4% 49.6%
Rangebank 55.9% 44.1%
Absent 57.8% 42.2%
Early 47.5% 52.5%
Postal 50.0% 50.0%
Provisional 59.2% 40.8%
TOTALS 52.3% 47.7%
 

 


Navigation:

« Clarinda Cranbourne Croydon »