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South Eastern Metro

« Clarinda Cranbourne Croydon »


Seat of Cranbourne

(Outer Eastern Melbourne)
Marginal. Labor 2.3%

Profile:

Cranbourne is located in the south-east of Melbourne and includes the suburbs of Cranbourne, Carrum Downs, Langwarrin, Seaford, Skye, and Frankston North.

The district was created prior to the 1992 election, when it was gained by the Liberal Party - who would hold the seat until Labor's landslide victory at the 2002 state election. Labor have held Cranbourne since the 2002 election and it remains a marginal electorate.

The demographics of the electorate are what can be considered skilled working class, with trades workers constituting the majority of the workforce. Machinery operators, labourers and community workers are also over-represented compared to the state average. The electorate has large populations of Indians and Sri Lankins; with the aforementioned groups being over-represented in this electorate compared to the state average.

Incumbent MP:

Jude Perera (Labor) - since 2002. Pictured right. He is not standing for reelection in 2018.

Electorate Boundaries and 2014 Polling Places:

The numbers on the map below represent the two party preferred result (percentage) for each polling place.

Candidates:

Quick Navigation
  Susan Jakobi Ind
  Norman Fosberry Ind
  Pauline Richards ALP
  Tarlochan Singh TMP
  Jason Soultanidis DHJP
  Edward Sok DLP
  Ravi Ragupathy Ind
  Ann-Marie Hermans LIB
  Jake Tilton GRN

Susan JakobiSusan Jakobi
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Independent

 


Norman FosberryNorman Fosberry
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Independent

 


Pauline RichardsPauline Richards
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Labor

Pauline Richards works as an advisor to Minister for Health Jill Hennessy and also previously worked as a campaign coordinator for Make Poverty History.


Tarlochan SinghTarlochan Singh
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Transport Matters Party

Tarlochan Singh is a Veterinary Surgeon and Past President of both the Sri Guru Granth Sahib Gurdwara, Keysborough and Victorian Sikh Gurdwaras Council of Victoria. He was born in India and lives in Melbourne with his wife and two sons. He is an advocate of and for helping Cat Adoption Rescue groups and enjoys giving presentations on veterinary profession to childcare and primary school students.


Norman FosberryJason Soultanidis
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Derryn Hinch's Justice Party

 


Edward SokEdward Sok
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Democratic Labour Party

 


Ravi RagupathyRavi Ragupathy
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Independent

 


Ann-Marie HermansAnn-Marie Hermans
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Liberal

Ann-Marie Hermans is a Cranbourne local who works as an educator, and also has active involvement in her community.She holds a Master of Arts and numerous other higher education qualifications.


Jake TiltonJake Tilton
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Greens

 

Prediction:

Labor retrain favoured.

Cranbourne is a marginal seat which has been held by the Liberals relatively recently, though they were unable to gain it at the 2010 Election.

2014 Results:

CRANBOURNE
2014 Primary Vote by Polling Place
  Jonathan Eli (RUAP) Jude Perera (ALP) Geoff Ablett (LIB) Rosemary Blake Nagaraj Nayak (GRN) Pamela Keenan (FFP) Laith Graham (ASP) Rania Michael (AC)
Amstel 1.9% 40.4% 44.4% 1.7% 4.2% 2.8% 2.9% 1.6%
Casey Central 2.4% 47.0% 39.1% 0.6% 4.2% 2.6% 1.9% 2.1%
Clyde 1.2% 43.7% 43.9% 0.4% 5.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6%
Courtenay Gardens 3.1% 46.3% 36.9% 2.6% 4.8% 2.2% 2.4% 1.7%
Cranbourne 3.0% 44.1% 40.9% 2.4% 3.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.1%
Cranbourne East 2.4% 47.4% 38.2% 0.5% 4.2% 3.0% 2.1% 2.2%
Cranbourne North East 4.5% 49.7% 33.7% 1.1% 4.1% 2.9% 2.6% 1.3%
Cranbourne Park 2.6% 48.1% 36.6% 1.5% 4.7% 2.5% 2.8% 1.1%
Cranbourne South 2.3% 27.8% 62.2% 1.2% 2.8% 1.0% 1.9% 0.7%
Cranbourne West 3.4% 48.3% 31.0% 3.2% 4.2% 1.4% 6.6% 1.9%
Lynbrook 2.8% 48.2% 32.7% 2.5% 6.8% 2.9% 2.3% 1.7%
Lundhurst 3.0% 49.2% 35.5% 1.1% 4.4% 2.2% 3.2% 1.5%
Lyndhurst West 1.5% 45.0% 44.5% 0.7% 3.2% 1.5% 2.6% 1.0%
Rangebank 2.4% 46.4% 38.6% 1.0% 4.9% 1.9% 3.6% 1.2%
Absent 3.4% 43.3% 33.2% 2.2% 6.5% 4.8% 5.2% 1.4%
Early 2.3% 39.9% 46.4% 3.0% 3.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.0%
Postal 1.1% 42.1% 45.0% 1.6% 2.9% 3.7% 2.2% 1.4%
Provisional 5.5% 44.2% 30.9% 1.7% 4.2% 5.9% 6.2% 1.4%
TOTALS 2.5% 43.4% 41.3% 2.1% 4.2% 2.4% 2.8% 1.4%
Data provided by the VEC.

 

2014 two party preferred vote by polling place
  Jude Perera (ALP) Geoff Ablett (LIB)
Amstel 48.5% 51.5%
Casey Central 60.1% 39.9%
Clyde 53.0% 47.0%
Courtenay Gardens 55.0% 45.0%
Cranbourne 52.5% 47.5%
Cranbourne East 56.1% 43.9%
Cranbourne North East 59.8% 40.2%
Cranbourne Park 58.1% 41.9%
Cranbourne South 33.6% 66.4%
Cranbourne West 59.8% 40.2%
Lynbrook 59.7% 40.3%
Lundhurst 58.6% 41.4%
Lyndhurst West 50.4% 49.6%
Rangebank 55.9% 44.1%
Absent 57.8% 42.2%
Early 47.5% 52.5%
Postal 50.0% 50.0%
Provisional 59.2% 40.8%
TOTALS 52.3% 47.7%
 

 


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