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« Altona Bass Bayswater »


Seat of Bass
(Eastern Victoria)
Marginal. Liberal 4.6%

Profile:

Incumbent MP:

Brian Paynter (Liberal), since 2014. Pictured right.

Candidates:

None declared as yet.

Assessment:

Bass looks like a relatively marginal seat, but that was due to a relatively high profile independent running in 2014. In reality, it is very unlikely that Labor would have a chance of winning this seat. The only way that the Liberals would lose this seat is if a high profile independent challenger were to run.

2014 Results:

BASS
2014 Primary Vote by Polling Place

  Ross Fairhurst (GRN) Clare Le Serve Paul Reid (AC) Brian Paynter (LIB) Angela Dorian (RUAP) Sanjay Nathan (ALP) David Amor (ACA)
Bass 7.2% 35.7% 1.7% 38.6% 0.6% 14.2% 2.0%
Bayles 8.5% 5.4% 1.0% 60.1% 1.2% 21.0% 2.7%
Cape Paterson 14.6% 12.6% 0.0% 43.0% 0.6% 27.5% 1.6%
Catani 6.5% 7.0% 2.2% 65.9% 0.5% 14.6% 3.2%
Clyde 5.2% 8.1% 1.3% 60.8% 0.4% 21.8% 2.4%
Corinella 5.2% 36.2% 0.7% 33.3% 1.2% 21.9% 1.6%
Cowers 14.5% 13.9% 1.5% 39.0% 0.9% 27.5% 2.7%
Dalyston 11.6% 18.0% 1.4% 43.2% 1.0% 20.7% 4.1%
Grantville 6.2% 23.3% 0.8% 43.9% 1.3% 22.9% 1.7%
Inverloch 13.2% 11.8% 0.9% 44.9% 0.6% 26.9% 1.8%
Kilcunda 13.6% 19.8% 0.0% 42.0% 1.6% 21.4% 1,6%
Koo Wee Rup 4.8% 7.6% 0.9% 55.1% 1.1% 28.0% 2.6%
Lakeside East 9.0% 4.1% 4.7% 45.0% 1.8% 34.0% 1.3%
Lang Lang 3.8% 9.1% 0.8% 56.6% 0.9% 23.6% 4.2%
Newhaven 13.9% 17.3% 1.1% 40.2% 0.5% 25.6% 1.2%
Pakenham 10.6% 4.8% 2.7% 41.4% 3.1% 34.8% 2.5%
Pakenham Central 7.0% 5.8% 2.0% 43.3% 1.9% 34.6% 5.4%
Pakenham Lakeside 7.0% 3.9% 2.6% 43.4% 1.7% 40.9% 1.4%
Pakenham Springs 6.4% 4.3% 3.9% 42.7% 2.0% 36.9% 3.7%
Rhyll 9.3% 21.1% 0.9% 44.9% 0.3% 21.4% 2.1%
San Remo 10.2% 18.4% 1.6% 49.8% 0.3% 19.1% 0.6%
Wonthaggi 12.6% 17.3% 2.0% 30.4% 1.8% 33.7% 2.2%
Wonthaggi North 9.4% 13.1% 0.9% 37.4% 1.8% 32.9% 4.5%
Absent Votes 15.7% 6.1% 2.4% 37.7% 2.3% 31.8% 3.9%
Early Votes 8.6% 10.9% 1.3% 46.1% 1.0% 30.2% 1.9%
Postal Votes 6.1% 7.9% 1.5% 57.3% 1.6% 22.4% 3.1%
Provisional Votes 16.7% 7.5% 4.5% 30.5% 3.1% 34.5% 3.1%
TOTALS 9.1% 10.8% 1.6% 45.3% 1.3% 29.4% 2.4%

 

Data provided by the VEC.

 

2014 two party preferred vote by polling place

  Brian Paynter (LIB) Sanjay Nathan (ALP)
Bass 60.1% 39.9%
Bayles 66.5% 33.5%
Cape Paterson 49.8% 50.2%
Catani 76.2% 23.8%
Clyde 69.5% 30.5%
Corinella 50.1% 49.9%
Cowers 49.6% 50.4%
Dalyston 55.8% 44.2%
Grantville 58.0% 42.0%
Inverloch 52.9% 47.1%
Kilcunda 52.5% 47.5%
Koo Wee Rup 62.5% 37.5%
Lakeside East 53.6% 46.4%
Lang Lang 67.2% 32.8%
Newhaven 51.0% 49.0%
Pakenham 51.6% 48.4%
Pakengam Central 53.1% 46.9%
Pakenham Lakeside 49.8% 50.2%
Pakenham Springs 52.3% 47.7%
Rhyll 52.8% 46.2%
San Remo 60.3% 39.7%
Wonthaggi 41.5% 58.5%
Wonthaggi North 47.9% 52.1%
Absent Votes 49.7% 50.3%
Early Votes 54.5% 45.5%
Postal Votes 65.0% 35.0%
Provisional Votes 45.8% 54.2%
TOTALS 54.6% 45.4%

 

Data provided by the VEC.

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