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10 September 2018
By Matt Hrkac

Victorian Election 2018: Seat of the day - Cranbourne

Marginal.
Labor 2.3%

Cranbourne is located in the south-east of Melbourne and includes the suburbs of Cranbourne, Carrum Downs, Langwarrin, Seaford, Skye, and Frankston North.

The district was created prior to the 1992 election, when it was gained by the Liberal Party - who would hold the seat until Labor's landslide victory at the 2002 state election. Labor have held Cranbourne since the 2002 election and it remains a marginal electorate.

The demographics of the electorate are what can be considered skilled working class, with trades workers constituting the majority of the workforce. Machinery operators, labourers and community workers are also over-represented compared to the state average. The electorate has large populations of Indians and Sri Lankins; with the aforementioned groups being over-represented in this electorate compared to the state average.

Although this is a marginal seat that has been held by the Liberal Party relatively recently, it was a seat that they weren't able to gain at the 2010 State Election; indicating that this seat has firmed up for Labor over recent elections.

 

 

Who do you think will win? Vote in the poll and post your predictions in the comments below.

Read the full electorate profile.

About the author:

Matt Hrkac is a writer and photographer based in Geelong. He has particular interests in politics, elections, social movements and the trade union movement.

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