Labor 2.2% (vs Greens)
The seat of Brunswick is located within the inner northern suburbs of Melbourne, and it includes the suburbs of Brunswick, Brunswick East, and Brunswick West, and parts of Coburg, Fitzroy North, Parkville and Pascoe Vale South.
Brunswick has existed in three different incarnations and during all three periods of existence, has always been retained and held by the Labor Party. It was held briefly, in 1955, by the Democratic Labour Party when sitting member Peter Randles split from Labor. The seat, however, was abolished leading up to that year's state election and would not come into existence again until 1976.
The current incarnation of Brunswick has existed since 2002. During this period, the seat has seen considerable gentrification but remains one of the strongest areas in Victoria for the political left; with an increasing Greens vote eroding Labor's primary vote, as well as their margin, over successive elections to date.
Brunswick is a top-tier target for the Greens and based on the margin as well as trends favouring the Greens in the inner suburbs of Melbourne, Labor may find it hard to hold on. However, recent results in the federal seat of Batman show that a Greens gain is by no means assured in the face of a strong Labor campaign targeting left-leaning voters and the Greens shouldn't take the seat for granted.
Who do you think will win? Vote in the poll and post your predictions in the comments below.
Read the full electorate profile.
About the author:
Matt Hrkac is a writer and photographer based in Geelong. He has particular interests in politics, elections, social movements and the trade union movement.
Have your say