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Federal By-elections Super-Saturday:

Braddon (TAS) Fremantle (WA) Longman (QLD) Mayo (SA) Perth (WA)


Your guide to the Seat of Perth By-election, 2018
Marginal. Labor 3.3%

Date: July 28, 2018.

Historical Vote Trend | 2016 Results | Candidates | Assessment

Profile:

The Federal Division of Perth encompasses the central and inner north-eastern suburbs of the Perth suburban area.

The seat extends northeast along the north bank of the Swan River from Perth, including suburbs such as Maylands, Mount Lawley, Bayswater, Ashfield, Bedford, Morley, Beechboro and the Perth city centre. It is a primarily residential area, although contains an industrial area at Bayswater and major commercial centres in Perth and Morley

One of the original electorates created in 1901, the seat was held by the conservative parties pretty reliably until the 1930's. From the 1940's, the seat became more marginal, changing hands fairly regularly. Since the 1980's, the seat has been a reliable retain for the Labor Party. However, in the most recent elections, the seat has become precariously more marginal owing to the changing demographics of the area.

The population of the seat is highly educated, with 32.1% of the population holding a university degree compared to 20.5% of Western Australia or 22% nationwide. Most of the population come from an English speaking background, and most of the workforce are in white-collar occupations with professionals making up 30.2% of the workforce and managers making up 13.3% of the workforce (compared to the state average of 20.5% and 12% respectively)

Incumbent MP:

Tim Hammond held the seat from the 2016 Federal Election. He announced his retirement on the 2nd of May, citing family reasons.


Historical Vote Trend

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2016 Federal Election Results

Party Candidate Vote Percentage Swing
  Liberal Jeremy Quinn 35,381 42.31% +0.20%
  Labor Tim Hammond 31,248 37.36% −1.02%
  Greens Tim Clifford 14,272 17.07% +5.10%
  Liberal Democrats Mark Walmsley 1,430 1.71% +1.71%
  Online Direct Democracy Andrew Chambers 1,300 1.55% +1.55%
Two Party Preferred Result
  Labor Tim Hammond 44,602 53.33% +1.15%
  Liberal Jeremy Quinn 39,029 46.67% −1.15%

The numbers on the map below represent the two party preferred vote percentages at each polling place at the 2016 Federal Election. Red numbers represent booths that Labor won, blue numbers represent booths the Liberal Party won.

 

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Candidates:

Quick Navigation:

Julie Matheson | Nicole ArielliJim GraydenWesley Du Preez | Colin Scott | Ben Mullings | Patrick Gorman | Gabriel Harfouche | Paul CollinsCaroline Perks | Aaron HammondEllen Joubert | Tony Robinson | Ian Britza | Barry Mason

The Liberal Party are not endorsing a candidate in the Perth by-election.

Julie MathesonJulie Matheson, Perth, How to vote cardJulie Matheson
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party:

Julie Matheson is the founder of the Western Australia Party (federally unregistered).

 

 


Nicole ArielliNicole Arielli
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Animal Justice Party

Nicole Arielli completed a Bachelor of Science degree in Environmental Management in 2015 and has strong knowledge of the many wildlife and environmental issues within Australia. She is on both the Animal Justice Party WA and Stop Live Export committees, undertaking the role of Treasurer.


Jim GraydenJim Grayden
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Independent (Liberal).

Jim Grayden is a former high school teacher and has worked in the management of family-owned business interests for the past 20 years. He also has an extensive family history of political representation in Western Australia; most notably his father, Bill Grayden, who is the longest-serving member in WA history having served a total of 43 years in the State and Federal parliaments. He is a former member of the Liberal Party.


Wesley Du PreezWesley Du Preez
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Liberal Democrats

Born in South Africa, Wesley Du Preez migrated to Australia with his family in 2007. He recently graduated from Edith Cowan University with a Bachelor's Degree in Marketing, Advertising, and Public Relations.


Colin ScottColin Scott
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Sustainable Australia.

Colin Scott is a long-time local resident, small business owner and community volunteer living in North Perth. He started a local ratepayers group, is the co-founder of a local environment group rehabilitating Swan River water tributaries, and is the North Perth local coordinator for Clean Up Australia Day


Ben MullingsBen Mullings
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Mental Health Party

Dr Ben Mullings is a Counselling Psychologist with background experience in applying psychotherapy across a diverse range of contexts, including work with veterans, people in the department of justice, couples in crisis, and home-visit services for teenagers. He has also worked as a lecturer and presenter on the topic of ethics, the use of technology and the Internet in psychotherapy, and the complexities of professional practice.


Parick GormanPatrick Gorman, Perth, Labor how to vote cardPatrick Gorman
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Labor.

Patrick Gorman is the Western Australian State Secretary of the Labor Party and previously worked as an Advisor to Kevin Rudd during his time as Prime Minister, as well as for United Voice as its Director of Public Affairs.

 


Gabriel HarfoucheGabriel Harfouche, Perth, Australian People's Party how to vote cardGabriel Harfouche
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Australian People's Party

Gabriel Harfouche previously contested Perth as a Palmer United Party candidate at the 2013 Federal Election. He has qualifications in education, management and law

 

 

 


Paul CollinsPaul Collins
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Independent (Liberal)

Paul Collins is a former Councillor for the City of Stirling. He stood as a candidate, for the Liberal Party, in the North Metropolitan Region at the 2013 State Election as the sixth candidate on the ticket. He is the current President of the Mount Lawley Heritage Society and a former elected Director of the Western Australian Cricket Association


Caroline PerksCaroline Perks
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Greens.

Caroline Perks is an expert in climate policy and is a Perth local. She worked for the Western Australian Department of Environment Regulation as a policy officer dealing with adaption for a four month period in early 2014. She also worked for the Western Australian Local Government Association for several years as Climate Change Coordinator and currently works as a Senior Sustainability Officer for the City of Perth.


Aaron HammondAaron Hammond
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Science Party.

Aaron Hammond is an engineer and holds a degree in Mechatronics engineering. He works with companies to produce high-tech products, and with projects that, he says, will propel Australia's capabilities in world-wide markets


Ellen Joubert Ellen Joubert, Perth, Australian Christians How to vote cardEllen Joubert
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Australian Christians

Ellen Joubert is a speaker, trainer and coach who owned her own business for several years. She also had a successful career in media advertising for twelve years and for the last five years has worked in media as a Senior Advertising Executive and Trainer

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Tony Robinson Tony Robinson
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Australian Liberty Alliance

Dr Tony Robinson spent the first 30 years of his life in the Sydney suburb of Willoughby and attended Marist Brothers North Shore. After completing studies at University NSW, he specialised in orthopaedic surgery and continues to work as an orthopaedic surgeon. He is the co-founder of Australian Liberty Alliance.


Ian Britza Ian Britza Perth How to vote cardIan Britza
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Independent (Liberal / Country Party)

Ian Britza is a former, Two-term Liberal MP for the seat of Morley elected at the 2008 state election. He also recently contested the 2017 New England federal by-election as a Country Party candidate.

 

 

 

 


Barry Mason Barry Mason
Website | Facebook | Twitter

Political Party: Citizens Electoral Council

Barry Mason is a keen golfer, enjoys travelling, camping, archery at his local club and spending time with his family including two grandchildren. He currently works part-time as a driver for a local traffic management company afer leaving a 30-year career in the housing industry designing and selling homes. He has lived in suburb of Rossmoyne all his life.

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Assessment and prediction:

Labor retain

With the Liberal Party deciding not to endorse a candidate in this by-election; Labor should retain the seat comfortably. There may, however, be a protest vote against Labor which would benefit the Greens and other minor party candidates, but it is unlikely this would be enough to prevent Labor from retaining it.

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